For the sake of convenience, I have copied/pasted this from the Cowboys vs. Havre (II) thread:
Columbia Falls - 35-32 (.522), playoff opponents: Stevensville, Dillon, Libby, Polson (2-2). The Wildcats won their division but have the worst overall record (4-4) of any playoff team. Ronan had a better overall record (5-4) but was only 2-2 in conference play. Sidney and Hamilton finished fourth in their divisions with a record equal to Columbia Falls.
Columbia Falls' season-to-date stats follow. I've included Nate Thompson's rushing stats in parentheses after the results of each game.
vs. Stevensville - L, 41-20 (20-270-2)
at Hamilton - L, 17-6 (25-214-1)
vs. Browning - W, 45-12 (18-184-1)
at Dillon - L, 28-0 (37-185-0)
vs. Libby - W, 46-10 (26-238-1)
at Polson - W, 25-20 (37-266-2)
at Whitefish - W, 51-0 (17-102-2)
vs. Ronan - L, 28-20 (29-147-3)
Overall record: 4-4 (3-1 conference)
Points scored: 213 (26.6 ppg)
Points allowed: 156 (19.5 ppg)
Thompson's stats: 209-1606-12 (200.8 ypg)
Putting up 185 yards against Dillon is impressive. But what sticks with me more is the fact that the Beavers still posted a shutout. It suggests a "bend but don't break" philosophy on the part of Dillon. That it took Thompson 37 carries to get his yards (5.0 yards per carry) takes a bit of the luster off the effort.
Columbia Falls also has enough of a passing game to keep teams honest. Austin Barth has completed 48 of his 117 passes for 875 yards (109.4 ypg) and 13 scores. Barth's primary target is Kaleb Johnson, who has 23 receptions for 474 yards and 9 touchdowns.
It should be noted that the bulk of Barth's and Johnson's stats came against woeful Whitefish. Barth completed 9 of 12 passes for 217 yards and six scores against the Bulldogs. Johnson caught 4 passes for 127 yards. Each of his receptions went for a touchdown.
Devyn Rocker is a dangerous kickoff returner, having returned two kicks for touchdowns. He has averaged 40 yards per return (9 returns).
I don't want to predict a shutout, but of all the games Columbia Falls has played this season, I feel the contest that best represents what the Cowboys might expect against the Wildcats is to be found in the Dillon game.
Like the Cowboys, the Beavers (8-0) won eight games in the regular season. Like the Cowboys, the Beavers have been ranked in the top 3 all season long. Like the Cowboys, the Beavers have an outstanding defense, playmakers on offense and a terrific coaching staff.
Dillon traditionally passes more than Miles City, but it should be noted that the Beavers' starting quarterback, J.T. Linder, was knocked out of the game against the Wildcats. As a result, Dillon generated most of their offense on the ground against Columbia Falls. Is there anyone who thinks that the Cowboys aren't capable of putting up more rushing yards than Dillon?
Linder and his replacement, Ben Folsom, combined to pass for for 7-17-141-0-1 against Columbia Falls. Is there anyone who doesn't think - especially after seeing what Cooley and Company have done over the last two weeks against quality opponents - that the Cowboys can't do at least as well through the air? Folsom rushed for 12-77-2 against the Wildcats, but is there anyone who thinks that the Cowboys' quarterback can't be even more productive?
I'll give Columbia Falls 7 points for being a divisional champion playing at home. I'll give them another 6 for having Thompson.
I'll give Miles City 35 points for being the better team and another 6 for me being a homer.
Cowboys, 41-13 and a fun bus ride home to play Dillon/Belgrade.
Good luck (and safe travel), Cowboys!
P.S.) Regarding what Bob (Deuces) said about the Cowboys becoming overconfident: I agree that this is a troubling possibility, but I also believe that the coaching staff will keep the Cowboys from getting complacent. No one wants to drive that far just to lose. No one wants to ride home knowing they lost to a team they should have whipped.
Miles City has fallen flat once before this season (Billings Central) and I'd expect they know the difference between wouldas, couldas, shouldas, and actually dids. The Cowboys know the Wildcats have nothing to lose by playing their best game of the season. I don't think Miles City will lose perspective, nor do I think they'll allow themselves to lose the game.
[This message has been edited by Brian A. Reed (11/1/2010)]